EUR/USD Exchange rate
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD stalls ahead of Reserve Bank of Australia’s decision
The Australian Dollar registered minuscule gains compared to the US Dollar as traders braced for the Reserve Bank of Australia monetary policy meeting. A scarce economic docket in the United States and a bank holiday in the UK were the main drivers behind the “anemic” AUD/USD price action. The pair trades around 0.6624.
EUR/USD propped up near 1.0750 ahead of European Retail Sales
EUR/USD churned around 1.0770 to kick off the new trading week, with the pair rising after better-than-expected Purchasing Managers Index figures early Monday before settling into familiar chart territory above 1.0750 ahead of Tuesday’s pan-European Retail Sales figures.
Gold rises as US job slowdown dampens Treasury yields
Gold price rallied close to 1% on Monday, late in the North American session, bolstered by an improvement in risk appetite due to increased bets that the US Federal Reserve might begin to ease policy sooner than foreseen. The XAU/USD trades at around $2,320 after bouncing off daily lows of $2,291.
Ethereum traders show uncertainty following huge whale sale, Robinhood Crypto Wells notice
Ethereum holdings on centralized exchanges continue to decline despite recent whale sales. With Robinhood Crypto as the latest recipient of the SEC's Wells notice, Ethereum spot ETFs look more unlikely.
RBA expected to leave key interest rate on hold as inflation lingers
Interest rate in Australia will likely stay unchanged at 4.35%. Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Michele Bullock to keep her options open. Australian Dollar bullish case to be supported by a hawkish RBA.
Majors
Cryptocurrencies
Signatures
THE MOST TRADED CURRENCY PAIR
The EUR/USD (or Euro Dollar) currency pair belongs to the group of 'Majors', a way to mention the most important pairs in the world. The popularity of Euro Dollar is due to the fact that it gathers two main economies: Europe and the United States of America. This is a widely traded currency pair where the Euro is the base currency and the US Dollar is the counter currency. Since the EUR/USD pair consists of more than half of all the trading volume worldwide in the Forex Market, it is almost impossible for a gap to appear, let alone a consequent breakaway gap in the opposite direction.
The EUR/USD reached an all time high of 1.6038 in July 2008 and a record low of 0.8231 in October 2000.
EUR/USD FORECAST 2024
In her article “EUR/USD Price Annual Forecast: Vestiges of normality in 2024 as central banks pare massive tightening” published at the end of the year 2023, Valeria Bednarik talks about the EUR/USD Forecast and explains that "as 2023 comes to an end, financial markets keep trading on sentiment. The US Dollar falls while the Euro rises as confidence reigns. Optimism is pushing Wall Street higher and government bond yields down, which are signs of easing fears". "EUR/USD aiming to extend gains in the first half of 2024 amid sentiment trading".
If 2023 could be described with one word, that would be "sentiment". Through the last four years, the world has become a different one, and so have investors’ mindsets. As this year ends, some vestiges of normality are peeping in the near future, although the road is still long.
MOST INFLUENTIAL CURRENCIES FOR EUR/USD
The EUR/USD pair can also be impacted by other currencies, in particular GBP, CAD, JPY, CNY, and AUD. This group also includes the following currency pairs: GBP/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, USD/CHF, NZD/USD, USD/CAD, GBP/JPY and EUR/JPY
MOST INFLUENTIAL ORGANIZATIONS FOR EUR/USD
The organization that most impact has nowadays the EUR/USD is the Federal Reserve, the central banking system of the United States of America created with the enactment of the Federal Reserve Act, after a series of financial panics led to the desire for central control of the monetary system in order to alleviate financial crises. Jerome Powell is Fed's Chair, serving in that office since February 2018.
The Board of Governors (also known as the Federal Reserve Board) is carefully observed. The board meets several times per year and announces the interest rates. If rates remain unchanged, attention turns to the tone of the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) statement. Also particularly significant are the 12 Federal Reserve Banks that make up the Federal Reserve. These Federal District Reserve Districts issue their own statements and research data that give hints about the health of the US economy and might as well influence dollar-related currency pairs.
The US Government is as well an institution of great importance for the EUR/USD pair: events as administration statements, new laws and regulations or fiscal policy can increase or decrease the value of the US Dollar and the currencies traded against it.
Not only American institutions influence the EUR/USD pair, European too of course. And the number one organization is the European Central Bank, which is the central bank for the euro and administers monetary policy within the Eurozone, comprising 19 member states of the European Union and is one of the largest monetary areas in the world. ECB's main objective is to maintain price stability for the Euro while setting and implementing the monetary policy for the Eurozone (including interest rates). It also conducts foreign exchange operations and takes care of the foreign reserves of the European System of Central Banks. Christine Lagarde is ECB's President since November 2019.